Tuesday, June 2, 2009
Potpourri
* Jérémie Rostan alerts us to this WSJ article discussing German Chancellor Merkel's awesomeness:
* MercedesRules passes along this Bloomberg article discussing an insurer who is buying gold for the first time in 152 years:
"I view with great skepticism the powers of the Fed, for example, and also how, within Europe, the Bank of England has carved out its own small line," Ms. Merkel said in a speech in Berlin. "We must return together to an independent central-bank policy and to a policy of reason, otherwise we will be in exactly the same situation in 10 years' time."
* MercedesRules passes along this Bloomberg article discussing an insurer who is buying gold for the first time in 152 years:
Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Co., the third-largest U.S. life insurer by 2008 sales, has bought gold for the first time the company’s 152-year history to hedge against further asset declines.However, we need to be careful about the price of gold during the Depression, what with FDR changing the peg from $20.67 an ounce to $35 in about 9 months. I think the basic principle still holds, but it's a pretty significant institutional difference between then and now.
“Gold just seems to make sense; it’s a store of value,” Chief Executive Officer Edward Zore said in an interview following his comments at a conference hosted by Standard & Poor’s in Brooklyn. “In the Depression, gold did very, very well.”
Northwestern Mutual has accumulated about $400 million in gold, and Zore said the price could double or even rise fivefold if the economy continues to weaken. Gold gained 10 percent last month, the most since November. The commodity has more than tripled since 2000, rising for eight straight years. Gold futures for August delivery slipped $4.80 to $975.50 at 4:03 p.m. in New York.
“The downside risk is limited, but the upside is large,” Zore said. “We have stocks in our portfolio that lost 95 percent.” Gold “is not going down to $90.”
Comments:
A decade back I interviewed at the NML HQ for a couple of posts. "Stodgy" and "retentive" aren't quite the right words to describe Nimmels (NML). How cloistered, group-think, 'yes-man' cultured, and uninventive would you think they'd be with a 20 year waiting list to get a spot in the closest parking ramp?
Could it be that these guys are the last ones in the door? Just looking at both sides.
Disclosure: I'm long gold etf in client accounts.
Could it be that these guys are the last ones in the door? Just looking at both sides.
Disclosure: I'm long gold etf in client accounts.
Bob,
Why is the Merkel quote awesome? a.) she's a politician so you know she hasn't suddenly gained fiscal sanity and is likely trying to make some other point, like that the ECB or Reichsbank(ha!) should be in charge of money and interest rate policy for the world and b.) she didn't say central banking sucks. She said we need rational central banking. WTF does that even mean? What can it mean?
It means nothing. This is not awesome at all. It's as awesome as Obama saying "bankruptcy is the one chance GM has at becoming a leaner, more efficient company." If you just landed from free market Mars you might go "Oh YES! YES! That's exactly what GM needs, Obama is so AWESOME!" Then you realize... Obama is managing GM through its bankruptcy, the bankruptcy came after massive cash infusions for months, and Obama is just a politician trying to win street cred with dopes who are quick to call him awesome for his thinly-veiled tyrannic rhetoric.
Obama = Merkel = Not awesome.
Why is the Merkel quote awesome? a.) she's a politician so you know she hasn't suddenly gained fiscal sanity and is likely trying to make some other point, like that the ECB or Reichsbank(ha!) should be in charge of money and interest rate policy for the world and b.) she didn't say central banking sucks. She said we need rational central banking. WTF does that even mean? What can it mean?
It means nothing. This is not awesome at all. It's as awesome as Obama saying "bankruptcy is the one chance GM has at becoming a leaner, more efficient company." If you just landed from free market Mars you might go "Oh YES! YES! That's exactly what GM needs, Obama is so AWESOME!" Then you realize... Obama is managing GM through its bankruptcy, the bankruptcy came after massive cash infusions for months, and Obama is just a politician trying to win street cred with dopes who are quick to call him awesome for his thinly-veiled tyrannic rhetoric.
Obama = Merkel = Not awesome.
The real tragedy is that it's taboo for Merkel to even talk about what Trichet and the ECB are up to. We have a long way to go...
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