Tuesday, March 24, 2009
Potpourri
* Tyler Cowen links to a piece that explains a strategy to game the Geithner plan.
* Oh man, more talk about the Fed's "weapons" at Mankiw's blog...Check it out:
To repeat a point I've been making lately: Does it make any sense that after everyone realizes we were all consuming way too much, and we all need to buckle down and save like crazy, that the solution involves...negative interest rates?!
* Oh man, more talk about the Fed's "weapons" at Mankiw's blog...Check it out:
Some people are concerned that in the the fight against recession, the weapons of monetary policy are nearly out of ammunition. That is certainly the case for the standard monetary weapon--cuts in short-term interest rates. After all, short-term interest rates are already about zero, and the Fed cannot cut interest rates below zero.Folks, at this point can we admit that the mainstream models are BAD? If you're trying to figure out how to help the economy, and you end up concluding, "We might try randomly turning off 10% of the dollar bills," then I think you need to check your assumptions.
Or can it? In a discussion at a Harvard seminar recently, a clever grad student proposed a solution to the zero-lower-bound problem.
...I can now state the proposed solution: Reduce the return to holding money below zero. Imagine that the Fed were to announce that, one year from today, it would pick a digit from 0 to 9 out of a hat. All currency with a serial number ending in that digit would no longer be legal tender. Suddenly, the expected return to holding currency would become negative 10 percent.
That move would free the Fed to cut interest rates below zero. People would be delighted to lend money at negative 2 percent. Losing 2 percent is better than losing 10.
To repeat a point I've been making lately: Does it make any sense that after everyone realizes we were all consuming way too much, and we all need to buckle down and save like crazy, that the solution involves...negative interest rates?!
Comments:
Am I wrong for thinking mainstream economics is the problem? Can it be as bad as it seems? Ayn Rand had the idea of an "anti-concept", which was a false idea meant to conceal a valid idea. It seems like the field of economics (mainstream not Austrian) is anti-knowledge.
Non-Austrian Economics relates to Economics as Alchemy to Chemistry.
Alchemists may use the same tools as chemists (open flames, glass flacons, metal tongs, colored substances), but that's where the similarities end.
Just like you can tell you have landed at a quack doctor when you see the Qi-chart and acupuncture map on the wall, and starts talking about 'balancing the life forces', so you know you are dealing with a quack economist when he gets out his econometric models, and talks about 'multipliers' and 'need to get credit flowing'.
Fashionable nonsense, little more.
Alchemists may use the same tools as chemists (open flames, glass flacons, metal tongs, colored substances), but that's where the similarities end.
Just like you can tell you have landed at a quack doctor when you see the Qi-chart and acupuncture map on the wall, and starts talking about 'balancing the life forces', so you know you are dealing with a quack economist when he gets out his econometric models, and talks about 'multipliers' and 'need to get credit flowing'.
Fashionable nonsense, little more.
That was hilarious. Can you imagine all the people trying to accumulate every bill ending in a "lucky seven"?
Wow, I've been reading economics blogs along with the standard Rep/Dem political sites for a long time and that is, without a doubt, the dumbest thing I have ever come across. It isn't surprising that it came from a "clever" Harvard grad student.
The Blackadder Says:
If the government were about to announce that one out of every ten bills was void, why wouldn't people just not hold cash?
If the government were about to announce that one out of every ten bills was void, why wouldn't people just not hold cash?
I take that back, the dumbest thing was a while back when someone prominent (I forget who) suggested bulldozing houses to keep prices from falling. That was the dumbest. This was close.
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